Advances and Applications in Statistics
Volume 56, Issue 1, Pages 53 - 76
(May 2019) http://dx.doi.org/10.17654/AS056010053 |
|
MACHINE LEARNING TECHNIQUES TO UNDERSTAND THE DYNAMICS OF TERRORIST EVENTS
Marta Galvani and Silvia Figini
|
Abstract: For security departments understanding the dynamics of terrorist events finding significant and recurrent patterns can have an important impact in the counter-terrorism strategy development. Machine learning techniques coupled with domain knowledge are useful to understand terrorist behaviours with high accuracy, thus helping policy makers for time-sensitive understanding of terrorist activity, which can enable precautions to avoid against future attacks. In this paper, different computational techniques, able to derive relationships among terrorist attacks and detect terrorist behaviours, are used on the global terrorism database (GTD). The analysis proposed in this paper could help security and government departments to prevent terrorist attacks and to reduce financial, human and political losses. Furthermore, this information can be useful for law enforcement agencies to propose reactive strategies. |
Keywords and phrases: terrorist attacks, learning models, forecasting, risk.
|
|
Number of Downloads: 339 | Number of Views: 2409 |
|