TIME-VARYING HIERARCHICAL ARCHIMEDEAN COPULAS: A NON-PARAMETRIC APPROACH
A non-parametric approach based on U-statistics in the construction of the time-varying hierarchical Archimedean copula model has been proposed. The procedure aims to analyze changes in the Kendall correlation matrix computed from the observations. This makes it possible to identify local segments of homogeneity and to construct a hierarchical Archimedean copula model on each segment. The simulations performed made it possible to assess the power of the proposed procedure.
hierarchical Archimedean copula, copula estimation, Kendall correlation matrix, U-statistics, CUSUM statistics, dynamic dependence
Received: September 4, 2024; Accepted: October 7, 2024; Published: October 19, 2024
How to cite this article: Dodo Natatou Moutari, Benjamin Wengoundi Nikiéma, Hassane Abba Mallam, Barro Diakarya and Bisso Saley, Time-varying hierarchical Archimedean copulas: a non-parametric approach, Far East Journal of Theoretical Statistics 68(3) (2024), 405-427. https://doi.org/10.17654/0972086324022
This Open Access Article is Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
References:[1] Sawssen Araichi, Christian de Peretti and Lotfi Belkacem, Reserve modelling and the aggregation of risks using time varying copula models, Economic Modelling 67 (2017), 149-158.[2] Axel Bücher and Ivan Kojadinovic, A dependent multiplier bootstrap for the sequential empirical copula process under strong mixing, Bernoulli 22 (2016), 927-968.[3] Axel Bücher and Ivan Kojadinovic, Dependent multiplier bootstraps for non-degenerate u-statistics under mixing conditions with applications, J. Statist. Plann. Inference 170 (2016), 83-105.[4] P. Čížek, Wolfgang Härdle and Vladimir Spokoiny, Adaptive pointwise estimation in time-inhomogeneous conditional heteroscedasticity models, Econom. J. 12(2) (2009), 248-271.[5] Robert M. De Jong and James Davidson, Consistency of kernel estimators of heteroscedastic and autocorrelated covariance matrices, Econometrica 68(2) (2000), 407-423.[6] Herold Dehling, Daniel Vogel, Martin Wendler and Dominik Wied, Testing for changes in Kendall’s tau, Econometric Theory 33(6) (2017), 1352-1386.[7] Manfred Denker and Gerhard Keller, Rigorous statistical procedures for data from dynamical systems, J. Stat. Phys. 44 (1986), 67-93.[8] Pedro Galeano and Dominik Wied, Dating multiple change points in the correlation matrix, Test 26(2) (2017), 331-352.[9] Enzo Giacomini, Wolfgang Härdle and Vladimir Spokoiny, Inhomogeneous dependence modeling with time-varying copulae, J. Bus. Econom. Statist. 27(2) (2009), 224-234.[10] Jan Górecki, Marius Hofert and Martin Holena, On structure, family and parameter estimation of hierarchical Archimedean copulas, J. Stat. Comput. Simul. 87(17) (2017), 3261-3324.[11] Jan Górecki and Martin Holeňa, Structure determination and estimation of hierarchical Archimedean copulas based on Kendall correlation matrix, New Frontiers in Mining Complex Patterns: Second International Workshop, NFMCP 2013, Held in Conjunction with ECML-PKDD 2013, Prague, Czech Republic, September 27, 2013, Revised Selected Papers 2, Springer, 2014, pp. 132-147.[12] Wolfgang Karl Härdle, Ostap Okhrin and Yarema Okhrin, Time varying hierarchical Archimedean copulae, 2010. https://ssrn.com/abstract=2894238. [13] Wassily Hoeffding, A class of statistics with asymptotically normal distribution, Breakthroughs in Statistics: Foundations and Basic Theory, 1992, pp. 308-334.[14] Piotr Jaworski, Fabrizio Durante, Wolfgang Karl Hardle and Tomasz Rychlik, Copula Theory and its Applications, Springer, Vol. 198, 2010.[15] Harry Joe, Multivariate Models and Multivariate Dependence Concepts, CRC Press, 1997.[16] A. J. Lee, U-statistics: Theory and Practice, Routledge, 2019.[17] Alexander J. McNeil, Sampling nested Archimedean copulas, J. Stat. Comput. Simul. 78(6) (2008), 567-581.[18] Natatou Dodo Moutari, Abba Mallam Hassane, Barro Diakarya and Saley Bisso, The ARMA-APARCH-EVT models based on HAC in dependence modeling and risk assessment of a financial portfolio, European Journal of Pure and Applied Mathematics 14(4) (2021), 1467-1489.[19] Andrew J. Patton, On the out-of-sample importance of skewness and asymmetric dependence for asset allocation, Journal of Financial Econometrics 2(1) (2004), 130-168.[20] Dominik Wied, A nonparametric test for a constant correlation matrix, Econometric Reviews 36(10) (2017), 1157-1172.[21] Jeffrey M. Wooldridge and Halbert White, Some invariance principles and central limit theorems for dependent heterogeneous processes, Econometric Theory 4(2) (1988), 210-230.