Advances and Applications in Statistics
Volume 51, Issue 4, Pages 283 - 293
(October 2017) http://dx.doi.org/10.17654/AS051040283 |
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THE IMPACT OF FEMALE EMPLOYMENT AND THE THIRD BIRTH EVENT IN EGYPT USING SIMULTANEOUS HAZARD REGRESSION
Mostafa Sayed Mostafa Abd – El Hameed El Misery
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Abstract: The objective of this study is to explore the interactive relation between woman employment and their fertility transition. We specify a simultaneous hazard regression model of two processes: third birth events and employment events. In addition, we allow for unobserved heterogeneity that is correlated across the two processes. Employment and transition to the third birth are specified in separate equations, but estimated using a joint maximum likelihood procedure. This allows us to analyze the interaction of the transitions explicitly; the potential endogeneity of each transition with respect to the other is controlled. We estimate this model using data of the 2012 round of Egypt Labor Market Panel Survey. The main conclusion from the study is that there is an endogeneity between woman work-entry and fertility behavior. Specifically, controlling for unobserved heterogeneity, transition to the third birth depresses the hazard of joining the labour market while a work entry event produces a significant decline in the hazard of the transition to the third birth. The study focuses on the need for policy to simultaneously address work opportunities and fertility to benefit from the reciprocal relationship between the two processes. |
Keywords and phrases: hazard or duration models, simultaneous hazard regression. |
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